
Franziska Mager ■ Reclaiming tax sovereignty to transform global climate finance

Executive Summary
Climate finance is often framed as a search for new money. Our analysis and the climate finance slider released with this report, shows that the real issue is not scarcity but capture. Extreme wealth and undertaxed multinational profits are plentiful; what is missing is countries’ ability and willingness to tax them. This ability, tax sovereignty, has been weakened both by global rules that favour profit shifting and by domestic policies shaped by those who benefit most from the status quo.
We offer a blueprint for a global climate finance pool funded through progressive reforms. This report makes a critical contribution to the fight for fair and sufficient climate finance by:
- Exposing false scarcity: Applying a moderate wealth tax and implementing measures to end cross-border tax abuse across 187 countries could raise sums that dwarf today’s climate finance gap, with money left to spend domestically.
- Laying bare the tax sovereignty gap: Two thirds of countries could become net recipients of this pool while still adding domestic revenue, providing evidence that when governments regain and fairly exercise taxing rights, resources flow in rather than out.
- Showing scale is achievable: The reforms must exceed most existing proposals for climate finance funds.
Two case studies illustrate two very different tales of tax sovereignty, and the devastating linkages to climate justice and public finance. In Tanzania, we showcase how taxing rights are diluted by profit-based mining agreements, long-life stabilisation clauses that lock in tax breaks, and treaty rules that shift taxing rights abroad, all compounded by limited capacity to audit and litigate with multinational corporations. In the United Kingdom, tax sovereignty is self-restricted by successive cuts to top rates and lack of a net wealth tax, a patchwork of incentives (such as the non-dom regime) that invite underpayment, and the City’s influence over policy. The UK also incentivises profit shifting through its overseas territories, weakening its own and other countries’ tax bases.
Together, our findings demonstrate that claims of “no fiscal space” are convenient narratives, not economic facts. The report recommends the following:
Priority actions for civil society coalitions and allies
- Challenge the false narrative of fiscal scarcity by making the scale of untapped domestic revenue visible and politically salient.
- Build cross-movement alliances linking tax justice, climate justice and debt justice movements to challenge elite capture and reclaim public control over global tax and climate finance systems.
- Centre tax sovereignty as a climate justice issue and highlight how tax abuse by elites and multinationals undermines public finance for climate action.
- Expose the role of financial secrecy, tax abuse and corporate lobbying in blocking progress on climate finance.
Technical actions for governments
- Support negotiations for a United Nations Framework Convention on International Tax Cooperation (UNFCTC) and embed standards that guarantee equal rule-setting power for all countries. This includes a fair dispute resolution mechanisms that lowers the threat of existing Investor State Dispute Settlements (ISDS).
- Reclaim taxing rights for source countries by reallocating profit taxation and enforcing minimum effective corporate tax rates, especially in high-emitting sectors, and ensuring the necessary transparency and cooperation to enable effective wealth taxes in each country.
- End the race to the bottom by eliminating harmful tax incentives and introducing progressive wealth and capital taxes targeting elites and carbon-intensive industries.
- Redirect tax revenues into national climate transition plans and contribute fairly to global climate finance through transparent and accountable mechanisms.
Reclaiming tax sovereignty through these steps would not merely fill a funding gap. It would reshape global taxation to serve climate justice and restore democratic control over public finances. Revenue can be raised fairly and reliably from those most able to pay and directed to where they are most urgently needed.
1. The climate finance crisis is a crisis of power, not of resources
Countries have systematically failed to meet even the modest US$100 billion per year climate finance pledge made by developed countries at COP15 in 2009. Yet estimates now suggest that the annual cost of addressing the climate crisis around the world may reach US$9 trillion by 2030[1]. Every moment of inaction drives this figure higher. The chronic failure to mobilise and institutionalise adequate and fair climate finance is not simply a question of broken promises. It reflects political and economic power dynamics within an unjust global system.
To date, climate finance strategies have relied heavily on three pillars: voluntary contributions through public pledges, such as the US$100 billion goal for adaptation and mitigation agreed at COP15; market-based mechanisms, such as carbon trading and green bonds; and blended finance approaches designed to leverage private capital. But all three have fallen short. Voluntary pledges remain unmet, carbon markets have struggled with credibility and equity[2] issues, and private investment continues to prioritise profit over long-term resilience and justice.
By contrast, tax revenue, especially when raised through progressive and redistributive measures, offers a reliable, sovereign and equitable means of financing climate action. Taxes can be designed to reflect responsibility and ability to pay, while also strengthening democratic mandates and public trust. In the face of escalating climate costs, fiscal policy must become a central tool in delivering both national and global climate finance commitments. Financing climate action sooner rather than later is critical. This includes reparative finance for loss and damage to compensate countries harmed by a crisis they did not cause, as well as funding for adaptation and mitigation.
1.1 Why this report, and why now
Governments across the globe continue to claim that resources are scarce or unavailable. However, in reality, trillions in untapped tax revenue exist within the current global financial architecture[3]. What is missing is not money, but political will. Taxation is not merely a budgetary tool—it is a survival mechanism.
This report starts from the recognition that the climate crisis is not fundamentally a crisis of resources. It is a crisis of power, political capture and imagination. As others have noted[4], the real obstacle to change is not an absolute lack of revenue, but a failure to reimagine what progress looks like in a warming, deeply unequal world. Fossil-fuelled development paths are assumed to be inevitable or necessary, even when they are economically inefficient, environmentally devastating and politically unjust. We argue that tax, often seen as too technical or divisive, is central to breaking through this stalemate.
Specifically, we must revisit how tax sovereignty is understood and exercised in the face of the climate emergency. Tax sovereignty, the ability of states to set and enforce their own tax policies in the sovereign interest of their own people and without external interference, is often invoked by governments as a shield to protect their freedom not to tax. But in a world on fire, that freedom is no longer neutral. When the costs of the climate crisis are rising rapidly and falling most heavily on those who did least to cause it, the decision not to mobilise available tax revenues, particularly from extreme wealth or polluting profits, is no longer simply a domestic prerogative. It becomes a crisis of power, not of resources.
Today, many governments still misuse or underuse their tax sovereignty, upholding the right not to tax in ways that prevent urgently needed public finance from being raised. Many other governments are limited in their ability to exercise their tax sovereignty. This, in turn, creates a race to the bottom, making it more difficult for other countries to maximise revenue raising. Additionally, many governments have made choices to be tied down in international tax and investment protection treaties, many of which were signed before the climate emergency escalated. Undoing these choices is difficult and curtails the exercise of full tax sovereignty needed to address present climate challenges.
In this report, we focus on two specific trends:
In the Global North, governments have failed to harness the full potential of progressive taxation. Wealth taxes, which can raise trillions of US dollars annually, remain almost entirely absent, even as extreme wealth concentration and carbon-intensive capital accumulation violate the polluter pays principle. Generous subsidies and incentives[5] to polluting industries, along with sustained tax cuts, further undermine the fiscal base for climate action.
In the Global South, tax sovereignty is actively undermined, either through past decisions to be bound by outdated international treaties or through external political pressure that prevents a country from exercising its sovereignty.
Collectively, countries lose hundreds of billions of US dollars each year through corporate profit shifting and tax abuse. International tax rules, largely shaped by the OECD and wealthy countries, limit the taxing rights of developing nations. Illicit financial flows, often channelled through secrecy jurisdictions that enable opacity in financial systems to facilitate tax abuse and are hosted by the Global North, rob (all) governments of urgently needed revenue to finance their own transitions as well as promoting wasteful corruption. This is compounded by the failure of international climate finance mechanisms to deliver timely and sufficient support.
To address the climate crisis at the scale required, we must abandon the prevailing narrative of scarcity. Climate finance is too often framed as a matter of limited fiscal space, best addressed, it is claimed, through voluntary contributions, carbon markets or private investment flows. This narrative obscures the deeper issue: a refusal to tax existing wealth and profit in ways that would fund a just transition. Taxation must be reframed as a cornerstone of climate justice. So must tax sovereignty, not as a shield for inaction, but as a tool for survival.
1.2 Tax sovereignty, human rights and reparations
This report rests on a set of core principles[6]:
- The polluter pays principle: Climate finance must go beyond national borders to address global responsibilities. Those who have contributed most to the crisis must pay their fair share, not only for local mitigation, but for adaptation and irreversible loss and damage elsewhere.
- Common but differentiated responsibilities (CBDR): All countries must act on climate, but richer, higher emitting nations must contribute more. Climate finance frameworks, and tax reforms to fund them, must reflect historic emissions and unequal capacities.
- Tax as a social superpower: Taxes do more than fund public services. They redistribute wealth, disincentivise harmful behaviour, and forge accountability between states and citizens. They are uniquely powerful in delivering just and lasting change.
- International cooperation with equity at the centre: Climate finance decisions must align with human rights, democratic participation, and UN principles. No fair climate finance regime can be built on rules that exclude the voices of those most affected, particularly Global South countries and frontline communities.
Climate finance must be understood not as charity but as a matter of global justice and legal obligation. The Maastricht Principles on the Extraterritorial Obligations of States affirm that governments have responsibilities to avoid harm and to promote equity beyond their borders. This legal framework aligns with the Common but Differentiated Responsibilities and polluter pays principles, which recognise the disproportionate role of wealthy nations and polluters in causing the crisis, and their duty to finance its solutions.
A reparations-based approach to climate finance affirms that countries in the Global South have a right to access adequate, fair and reliable funding, not because of goodwill but because of ecological debt owed. Taxation is central to delivering this finance. Properly designed progressive tax policy, such as wealth taxes and rules to stop cross- border tax abuse, can not only mobilise the required revenue but also reduce inequality and limit the excess consumption of the very wealthy. Tax is both a fiscal and behavioural tool.
To make this argument tangible, this report introduces a new interactive tool: the climate finance slider. Based on original Tax Justice Network country level data, the tool allows users to explore how much revenue could be generated through two key tax justice reforms: introducing wealth taxes and curbing cross-border tax abuse. Crucially, it allows users to allocate this revenue between domestic spending and global climate finance contributions. This illustrates a key argument: it is a false choice to pit national spending priorities against global obligations.
The climate finance slider demonstrates that countries, including those in the Global South, can simultaneously raise public finance at home and contribute to international climate finance, provided tax sovereignty is reclaimed and fairly exercised. Most countries, in fact, are likely to be net recipients under a progressive system. What stands in the way is not technical feasibility. It is entrenched inequality and political resistance.
This report places tax sovereignty at the heart of climate justice. Many countries want to implement tax reforms to raise public revenue and finance domestic transitions but cannot do so because their sovereignty is constrained. Other countries are better able to act but choose not to implement such measures because they are perceived not to be in the national interest. Through case studies, policy recommendations, and data derived from our work on wealth taxation and longstanding research on tax abuse, we show how rethinking taxation, both globally and domestically, can help close the climate finance gap and build fairer societies in the process.
2. Inequality in a warming world: Climate breakdown and fiscal power
This section unpacks the core injustices embedded in the climate finance crisis, including what is needed, who is paying and who is not. It illustrates how entrenched global inequalities, including in taxing rights and fiscal capacity, undermine just responses to a warming world, and how wealthy nations and multinational corporations continue to benefit from existing frameworks.
2.1 The climate finance gap: costs, needs and broken promises
The global community is failing to deliver on even its most modest climate finance pledges. The US$100 billion annual target, first committed to at COP15 in 2009, has repeatedly been missed[7]. Current pledges for the Loss and Damage fund are far below the hundreds of billions of dollars that frontline communities will need. Financial needs are ballooning. By 2030, the combined cost of climate adaptation, mitigation and loss and damage may reach US$9 trillion annually[8].
These costs are not abstract: they translate into lives lost, livelihoods destroyed, and entire regions rendered uninhabitable. Climate-vulnerable countries need at least US$1.3 trillion a year by 2030 just for mitigation and adaptation[9]. Global climate finance remains severely underfunded, especially the loss and damage fund, which to date relies on inadequate, ad hoc and discretionary pledges from some rich countries rather than enforceable, fairly quantified contributions.
Meanwhile, the burden of domestic transitions is rising everywhere. Germany, for example, needs an additional €70 billion annually to reach climate neutrality[10]. Indonesia requires US$8 billion in new investments every year to align its energy sector with net zero targets[11]. South Africa’s Just Energy Transition Investment Plan (JET-IP) outlines a requirement of approximately US$98 billion over the next five years to initiate the shift from coal to renewable energy sources.
And although the scale of climate finance needs remains daunting, there are signs of cautious optimism. The cost of renewable energy technologies continues to fall and early public investment can reduce long term transition costs. This dynamic is reflected in recent modelling by the UK’s Climate Change Committee[12], among others.
But the failure to raise the necessary climate finance is not due to a lack of resources. It stems from political and corporate obstruction to mobilise revenue, particularly through fair taxation. This report argues that the narrative of revenue scarcity must be replaced with a narrative of power, responsibility and justice. Countries are not unable to raise climate finance. They are unwilling and often constrained in their ability to use the tools available to do so.
While this report focuses on international public finance flows between countries, it is important to acknowledge that funding climate policy also happens through domestic level investment by governments, households and the private sector[13].
2.2. Climate inequality: Who pays and who bears the cost
We use the term climate injustice to refer to the disproportionate climate impacts on those communities least responsible for emissions. Climate injustice is deeply intertwined with economic inequality, both between and within countries, historic and current.
As Oxfam and others have shown, the wealthiest nations and the wealthiest individuals within them are responsible for most historical and current carbon emissions. For example, the world’s wealthiest 1 per cent of people are responsible for more carbon emissions than the poorest half of humanity combined[14]. This level of carbon emissions is not incidental. It is structural. It is tied to patterns of luxury consumption, asset ownership and political capture. Rich communities can better insulate themselves against climate shocks like extreme weather events. Yet it is the poorest countries and communities who are most exposed to the worst effects of climate breakdown.
Progressive taxation, including on wealth, is therefore not just a revenue imperative. It is also a tool for reining in overconsumption and excess political and economic influence among those at the top of the economic distribution. Historic marginal tax rates of up to 95 per cent[15] were not only important for raising revenue. They also signalled social disapproval of extremes in the distribution, and imposed an upper limit on individual income and wealth holdings. Globally, former colonial powers have built enormous wealth through fossil-fuelled industrialisation and continue to dominate financial and tax systems that extract wealth from the Global South[16]. Even the diversification and ultimately greening of Europe’s energy systems, by some measures, continues to operate through those same extractivist principles[17]. For example, green colonialism depletes energy reserves and critical minerals in the Global South to power Global North infrastructure[18]. Multinational oil and gas projects degrade local ecosystems and deplete essential resources like groundwater.
Despite this, climate finance remains largely voluntary and disconnected from the polluter pays and CBDR principles[19]. A just approach to climate finance requires not only acknowledging unequal contributions to the crisis but also addressing the mechanisms that allow those responsible to avoid paying their fair share. These mechanisms include preferential tax treatments for polluting sectors[20], ‘greenlaundering’ by financial institutions and fossil fuel corporations to obscure the true scale of fossil fuel finance[21] and mechanisms to facilitate profit shifting, aggressive tax planning and tax abuse more generally.
Fair taxation, especially through the introduction of wealth taxes and reforms to limit tax abuse, offers some of the most just, effective and sustainable ways to operationalise this principle.
2.3 Tax sovereignty and the political economy of climate injustice
At the heart of the climate crisis lies a deep fiscal injustice: many of the countries most exposed to the consequences of rising temperatures are those least equipped to raise revenue for adaptation, mitigation and loss and damage. Their inability to do so is not simply a matter of administrative or economic underdevelopment, but the result of a long history of international rules, corporate strategies, illicit financial flows and political choices that have hollowed out their tax capacity and sovereignty.
A country’s tax capacity refers to its ability to effectively raise revenue through taxation. It is one of the clearest indicators related to the appropriate and effective use of tax sovereignty in light of the climate emergency, and its fiscal power more broadly. It is also a critical precondition for meaningful climate action. While high income countries typically collect 30 to 40 per cent of their GDP in tax revenue, many low and middle income countries collect less than 20 per cent, with some as low as 10 per cent. This gap reflects both domestic challenges and international constraints, as explored in the following sections.
Without sufficient tax capacity, governments cannot fund basic public services, let alone the transition to a low carbon economy. While domestic reform is essential, many of the most powerful barriers to building tax capacity lie outside national borders.
How tax sovereignty is undermined:
Sovereignty, including tax sovereignty, is often celebrated in principle but constrained in practice, especially for countries in the Global South. These constraints include:
- Restrictive and/or outdated tax treaties: Bilateral agreements that limit countries’ rights to tax foreign investors or multinational income, often favour residence-based taxation in wealthier states rather than taxing profits where real economic activity takes place.
- Profit shifting and transfer mispricing: Multinational corporations routinely shift profits out of resource rich countries through internal capital markets, depriving host governments of billions in untaxed earnings.
- Investor-State Dispute Settlement (ISDS) mechanisms: These allow corporations to sue states for changes to tax rules or enforcement, disincentivising reform efforts.
- Tax incentives and stabilisation clauses: To attract investment, many governments have locked themselves into long term, low tax regimes that constrain fiscal space for decades. Stabilisation clauses prevent governments from changing tax rules after investment deals are signed.
- Illicit financial flows and secrecy jurisdictions: Capital flight, trade misinvoicing and tax haven networks more generally siphon off taxable income and wealth, often facilitated by financial and legal enablers and intermediaries based in the Global North.
These dynamics form a system of fiscal neocolonialism, where the ability to govern through taxation is systematically undermined. A stark illustration of the role of power dynamics is provided currently by the second Trump presidency[22], which has committed from day one to curtail the sovereignty of all other countries to tax US multinationals fairly. Countries are left to rely on regressive consumption taxes, volatile natural resource rents, or debt.
Climate justice, however, requires not just ambition, but capacity. Without the fiscal tools to raise revenue equitably, low-income and climate vulnerable countries are forced into impossible trade-offs, such as between education and adaptation, or debt service and disaster response. This is why reclaiming tax sovereignty, through both national reforms and international rule changes, is not only a matter of fiscal justice but a prerequisite for climate justice.
2.4 Realising full and fair sovereignty: Typical wealth tax and anti-tax abuse reforms
Having explored why fiscal space is constrained, we now show how governments can expand it. Two reform families can mobilise resources at scale while reinforcing tax sovereignty and fairness: progressive net wealth taxation and curbing corporate tax abuse. These two sets of reforms naturally complement each other: wealth taxes target stocks of money, whereas anti-tax abuse rules target flows and thus different bases. If tax treaty reform or implementation delays unitary taxation, a domestic wealth tax still delivers revenue and vice-versa. Both sets of reforms also focus on households and firms most responsible for historic emissions, aligning revenue potential with the polluter pays principle.
2.4.1 Progressive net wealth taxation
A net wealth tax complements inheritance, estate, property and capital gains taxes by levying an annual tax on private fortunes, either instead of or in addition to taxes on income. Net wealth taxation matters because it:
- captures generational wealth that may have largely escaped other types of taxation and drives inequality
- targets the top end of the economic distribution with an intense concentration of high-emitting households
- provides a steady revenue stream for long-term investment
Typical design features include:
- Threshold: set high enough to spare middle-class savers (approximately €1 million in Spain; PPP-adjusted equivalents elsewhere).
- Progressive rate schedule: 1 per cent on the entry band, rising to 2 to 3 per cent on ultra high net worth tiers
- Base & exemptions: net of debt, with limited relief for primary residences and pension pots
- Administration: third party data (banks, land and share registries) plus automatic information exchange
In high-income economies, a net wealth tax may yield around 1 to 2 per cent of GDP annually. For example, an enhanced version of Spain’s net wealth tax is projected to raise roughly €10.7 billion a year.[23] In lower income countries, the tax base may be smaller in absolute terms but still significant relative to public budgets.
2.4.2 Curbing corporate tax abuse
Cross-border tax abuse by multinational corporations costs countries hundreds of billions per year. Three core, complementary measures can address this:
Measure | What it does | Indicative revenue |
---|---|---|
Unitary taxation with formulary apportionment | Treats a multinational as one firm and allocates its global profit to where real economic activity occurs | +0.5 to 1 per cent GDP[24] |
Minimum effective tax rate (around 25 per cent) | Top-up rules neutralise low rate jurisdictions and harmful incentives | Included above, prevents erosion |
Transparency tools | Country by country reporting, beneficial ownership registries, automatic information exchange | Enforcement multiplier |
While these figures are indicative, and the size of revenue collected depends on factors such as economic structure and enforcement capacity, a resource rich lower middle-income country like Tanzania, for example, shifting from separate entity accounting to unitary rules could recapture roughly 0.8 per cent of GDP currently lost[25].
3. Enough for both: reclaiming tax sovereignty to overcome climate finance scarcity
This section introduces a new interactive tool: a country-by-country climate finance slider that lets readers explore how revenue raised from two key tax justice reforms could be allocated between domestic investment and contributions to a global climate finance mechanism. The tool is based on the Tax Justice Network’s State of Tax Justice data[26] quantifying losses from cross-border tax abuse, and our modelling of a moderate net wealth tax[27]. All details of the data and associated calculations can be found in the methodology note.
What the tool makes visible is the extent of untapped revenue—and with it, the power of tax sovereignty and fiscal self-determination. Instead of theprevailing scarcity narrative around public finance, countries do not in fact face a binary choice between addressing domestic needs or contributing to global climate finance. Through progressive tax policies, most could easily do both. Revenue could be channelled into domestic decarbonisation policies, adaptation measures and essential public services. Simultaneously, countries could contribute fairly to global climate finance. As previously explained, on top of ongoing improvements in domestic climate finance flows, it is this international climate finance from developed countries to developing countries to support climate action that remains dramatically underfunded.
At the basis of these reforms lies reclaimed and fairly exercised tax sovereignty. It is an essential lever that makes self-determined, inclusive climate action possible, without countries having to choose between domestic and global spending.
3.1 How the slider works
The climate finance slider is an interactive tool that lets users explore what countries could raise and allocate if two major tax justice reforms were enacted: (1) a moderate annual net wealth tax, and (2) effective measures to end cross-border tax abuse by multinational corporations.
For each country, the tool calculates the total potential revenue available from these reforms using estimates from the Tax Justice Network. This revenue can then be split between domestic spendingand global climate finance contributions. Users control this allocation through a sliding bar, visualising how policy choices affect both national budgets and international solidarity.
The slider also uses two global indicators to determine each country’s role. Responsibility is calculated as a country’s share of historical territorial emissions as proxy to calculate its fair contribution to global climate finance. Need is calculated based on each country’s vulnerability to climate change. Details can be found in the methodology note.
For every country, the slider shows:
- the total amount of revenue available annually from these tax reforms
- how much it would contribute to a global climate finance fund, based on the user’s allocation
- how much it would receive from that fund, based on its vulnerability
- whether it ends up a net contributor or net recipient
- how much is left over for additional domestic spending
In short, the slider reveals what countries could achieve if tax justice were made real—and if tax sovereignty were exercised fully and fairly. It does not predict what will happen but shows what is possible under a fair and just system.
The slider is available here.
3.2 Who is missing, and why it matters
While the climate finance slider aims to be global, some countries and jurisdictions are missing due to incomplete data. This reflects gaps in historical emissions and climate vulnerability data. Without both variables, we cannot estimate fair contributions or needs, and therefore, these cases are excluded from the tool. As explained in the methodology note, the choice not to use imputation techniques or proxy data is deliberate to avoid distorting results. Critically, missing data is not random—it reflects patterns of power, invisibility, and contested sovereignty.
What is not measured is often just as important as what is[28]. Countries like Palestine, or jurisdictions such as the British Virgin Islands, Hong Kong or Jersey are excluded not simply because data is incomplete, but because they occupy politically marginal or deliberately obscured positions. Some are territories without full sovereignty, unable to participate in international negotiations. Others are major players in the global offshore tax system. These omissions highlight how those with the most to gain from climate finance—and those with the most to give—can be rendered invisible.
This is especially paradoxical because many missing jurisdictions sit at the extremes of the climate justice spectrum. They are either deeply climate vulnerable and politically constrained (like Palestine), or critical enablers of tax abuse (like the BVI or Hong Kong), or both (like Puerto Rico). Even though their aggregate effect on global revenue or finance distribution is minimal—less than 0.1 per cent of a $1 trillion fund—their absence is symbolically and politically significant. As shown in the methodology, many could still raise substantial tax revenues, even if their emissions are low and their vulnerability is high.
In short, missing from the data does not mean missing from the problem. These gaps reflect some of the same global inequalities this report seeks to address. A just climate finance model must also be a fully inclusive one. Future versions of this work may incorporate missing jurisdictions as more data becomes available. Until then, acknowledging their absence is part of building a transparent and equitable system—one that sees and counts everyone.
3.3 What the data shows
The data reveals a powerful insight: under a progressive tax system, most countries around the world would be net recipients, and still have revenue left over to spend domestically. This undercuts the dominant narrative of scarcity and dependence, showing that fiscal capacity already exists, but it is unequally distributed and politically constrained. Countries in the Global South could reduce dependence on foreign aid or volatile loss and damage funding if they were able to effectively mobilise their own resources. Countries with greater historical responsibility can contribute more, aligning with the principle of common but differentiated responsibilities, while having revenue leftover for domestic spending.
The slider challenges the false trade-off between local priorities and global responsibilities. It visualises a path toward sovereignty, justice and shared climate action.
Key findings include:
- The US would be able to contribute $70 billion from additional tax revenue towards a global climate finance fund of $300 billion and be left with $707 billion for domestic spending. For a fund of $1.5 trillion, the US would be able to contribute $365 billion with $412 billion to spare. Even using the largest fund size and including global emissions since 1850, which stand at 24.54 per cent, the United States would still have more additional tax revenue available from ending cross- border tax abuse and introducing a progressive wealth tax than what they would be expected to contribute to the fund (US$777.5 billion vs US$638 billion).
- The UK would be able to contribute $13 billion from additional tax revenue towards a global climate finance fund of $300 billion and be left with $64 billion for domestic spending. For a fund of $1.5 trillion, the UK would be able to contribute $65 billion with $12 billion to spare.
- France would be able to contribute $6 billion from additional tax revenue towards a global climate finance fund of $300 billion and be left with $58 billion for domestic spending. For a fund of $1.5 trillion, France would be able to contribute $33 billion with $31 billion to spare.
- China would be able to contribute $47 billion from additional tax revenue towards a global climate finance fund of $300 billion and be left with $627 billion for domestic spending. For a fund of $1.5 trillion, China would be able to contribute $236 billion with $438 billion to spare.
- India would be able to contribute $11 billion from additional tax revenue towards a global climate finance fund of $300 billion and be left with $99 billion for domestic spending. For a fund of $1.5 trillion, India would be able to contribute $53 billion with $57 billion to spare.
- Brazil would be able to contribute $3 billion from additional tax revenue towards a global climate finance fund of $300 billion and be left with $53 billion for domestic spending. For a fund of $1.5 trillion, Brazil would be able to contribute $15 billion with $41 billion to spare.
- The Maldives are a prime example of the conundrum of small islands states: they are a net recipient of climate finance, but under a big fund size might struggle to meet their contribution.Assuming a fund size of US$1.5 trillion, the Maldives would be a net recipient at US$109 million. The potential additional tax revenues of US$30 million from tax reforms would cover the Maldives’ global climate finance contribution and still provide an extra US$3.5 million to spend domestically. Under a bigger fund scenario (US$2.6 trillion), the Maldives would receive US$234 million and would have to contribute US$46 million in global climate finance, meaning that even if they committed all the extra revenues to the fund, it would only cover 66 per cent of its fair contribution. If the fund were recurrent, the Maldives could spread their contribution over time and meet their part in two years while still having funds to spend domestically.
- No matter the size of the selected fund, almost two thirds of the included countries (63 per cent) would be net recipients of climate finance under the proposed tax reforms.
Based on the underlying data and findings, countries are also classified along a tax sovereignty scale, which compares their potential additional tax revenue to current tax collection levels[29].
The scale aims to illustrate how widespread constraints imposed by lacking or partially exercised tax sovereignty are on public budgets.
Tax sovereignty level | Range | Share of Countries | Example |
---|---|---|---|
Challenged | 0-5% | 36% | Belgium (2.7%) |
Endangered | 5-15% | 42% | Tanzania (13.6%) |
Negated | +15% | 19% | Timor-Leste (29.4%) |
3.4 What this means for climate justice
Exercising tax sovereignty fairly would allow countries to fill public budgets at home and participate in a fair multilateral climate finance system. The question is no longer whether countries can afford to act, but whether they are willing to act, and whether they are allowed to. The data shows clearly that climate finance constraints are political, not fiscal. The slider is therefore more than just a numbers game. It is a visual intervention into a dominant narrative of scarcity. Too often, governments claim they cannot fund climate action at scale because public resources are limited. But if countries reclaimed their tax sovereignty and implemented fair tax reforms, most would have more than enough revenue to meet both domestic needs and contribute to global goals.
Importantly, the slider’s global finance pool functions as a partial, proxy form of climate reparations in the absence of any formal colonial or climate reparations regime. It acknowledges that wealthier, high emitting countries owe historical climate debt to those who are least responsible for emissions but most vulnerable to rising temperatures.
The tool also challenges the artificial divide between domestic priorities and global obligations. Climate-vulnerable countries, especially in the Global South, are often asked to choose between servicing external debt, financing basic public services and decarbonisation. But when endowed with mobilising their own fiscal resources, these countries can clearly do both, fund their own transitions, and reduce dependency on donor dependent, volatile climate finance.
The slider also helps operationalise principles like the polluter pays principle and common but differentiated responsibilities (CBDR). Those with higher historical emissions have greater responsibility to contribute to a global fund. Those most vulnerable receive more. Contributions are not based on charity, but on fairness and justice.
Crucially, in the absence of any formal reparative framework between former colonial powers and those most harmed by climate breakdown, this global climate finance pool also functions as a partial, proxy form of climate reparations. It acknowledges that the current climate crisis is the product of unequal histories, and that those who benefitted most from carbon intensive development must now help shoulder the costs.
Finally, the slider makes visible something often ignored in climate negotiations: the power of taxation to drive justice. Just as tax injustice has helped entrench the climate crisis, through subsidies, secrecy, and the under taxation of polluters, so too can just taxation become a cornerstone of reparative climate finance. Reclaiming tax sovereignty is not only a way to raise money. It is a way to reclaim democratic control over the transition ahead.
4. Sovereignty in action and denial
Despite formal claims, the actual autonomy countries have over their tax systems is frequently limited. To fully understand why tax sovereignty is a contested terrain, and why many countries struggle to exercise it effectively, this section explores concrete examples, demonstrating both certain countries’ failure to actively use tax sovereignty for climate finance purposes, as well as the restrictions faced by other countries attempting to exercise their tax sovereignty in that way. It highlights how historical legacies of colonialism, contemporary global economic structures, and political economy considerations continue to shape and constrain fiscal choices, with profound implications for climate finance.
4.1 Why tax sovereignty is critical
Tax sovereignty is often seen as an abstract legal principle, and is, at least in terms of an overarching goal, largely absent from climate justice advocacy.
However, it is a deeply political expression of autonomy and collective self-determination. The ability to levy and collect taxes is at the heart of state power: it is how societies determine who contributes what, and to which collective ends. Tax sovereignty and the way countries use it is what shapes countries’ achievement of tax fairness, or the 5Rs of tax justice, that is, using taxation to raise revenue, reprice goods considered to be incorrectly priced by the market, redistribute income and wealth, improve representation and channel reparations for past injustices[30].
Historically, struggles over taxation were foundational to anti-colonial movements, from the rejection of the British imperial “taxation without representation” in 18th-century north America, to uprisings against colonial taxes across Africa and Asia[31]. Following independence, newly sovereign states saw control over tax policy as a cornerstone of national development strategies[32]. Conversely, the denial of self-determination through the forced forgoing of tax revenue continues to be a key feature of illegal occupation[33].
In many post-colonial states, the sacrifice of the new states’ power to tax foreign companies in favour of the former colonial powers has consistently been pushed as a necessary concession to attract foreign investment. This view has led to many legacy investment and tax treaties that are fundamentally imbalanced when it comes to those new countries’ ability to raise tax revenue. Additionally, the promise of fiscal sovereignty was also undermined in domestic tax policy making. At the same time that countries were gaining independence from the UK’s colonial empire, new developments were kicking off on what would eventually come to be called the UK’s “second empire”: a network of British tax havens consisting of crown dependencies like Jersey and Guernsey and overseas territories like the Cayman Islands and the British Virgin Islands, and at the centre of which sits the City of London. The UK’s “second empire” is today responsible for a quarter of all the tax losses countries suffer to multinational corporations and wealthy individuals using tax havens to underpay tax[34]. It continues the colonial undermining of other nations’ tax sovereignty and self-determination.
The global turn to neoliberalism in the 1980s and 1990s brought about a powerful reorientation of tax policy, pushed via structural adjustment programmes led by international financial institutions, in particular the IMF and the World Bank, and backed by the Washington Consensus and their donor governments. Under the banner of investment reforms, many countries were urged to lower corporate tax rates, introduce tax privileges for foreign investors and limit the taxation of extractive sectors, such as mining in Peru or the extractive sector in Ghana. These reforms coincided with the expansion of global financial liberalisation and the rise of offshore finance[35], which created a structural mismatch between where economic activity took place and where profits were declared and taxed.
Today, the idea that countries retain full sovereignty over their tax systems is more of an illusion than a fact. In practice, countries’ ability to set and enforce tax rules is shaped and constrained by an international system designed around the interests of capital. For many developing countries, sovereignty is confined to taxing consumption and wages at home, while multinational corporate profits escape through a labyrinth of tax abuse and profit shifting structures. For high income countries, sovereignty is often willingly not exercised, most notably by failing to tax wealth and by refusing to challenge financial secrecy within their own economies or spheres of influence.
Even in international negotiations, appeals to respect tax sovereignty are increasingly contradictory. They are made both to protect a state’s right not to tax, often by wealthier countries; and by Global South countries seeking to reclaim rights denied to them by existing tax norms promoted by the North[36]. This contradiction sits at the heart of the current push for a UN Framework Convention on International Tax Cooperation, an attempt to rebalance the asymmetries of global tax governance through inclusive deliberations and restore meaningful sovereignty to all countries.
In the context of climate breakdown and widening global inequalities, tax sovereignty and the way countries use it, or are prevented from using it, is no longer just a technical concept. It is a political faultline in the struggle over who pays, who decides and who benefits from the transition to a low carbon economy, or from the lack of one.
4.2 Who gains from undermining tax sovereignty?
If the erosion of tax sovereignty undermines public revenue and fiscal capacity, the next logical question is: who benefits? This section provides a short overview of key actors and mechanisms that have shaped and profited from this erosion.
At the centre of the web are multinational corporations, including those in highly polluting sectors like fossil fuels, agribusiness and shipping, as well as ultra-wealthy individuals and the financial secrecy jurisdictions that shelter their wealth. These actors profit from a global tax system that is designed to allow capital and corporate profits to move freely and with limited oversight (in stark contrast to the policing of the cross-border movement of people), while placing structural limits on certain governments’ ability to tax and allowing capital and profits to be accumulated in countries with governments that are not interested in taxing at all.[37]
Consider Shell, which in 2021 reported US$20 billion in profits yet paid no UK corporate tax[38]. Or Glencore, the mining giant repeatedly linked to aggressive tax planning and political influence operations across the Global South. Or ExxonMobil, whose use of subsidiaries in Bermuda, the Bahamas and the Cayman Islands has helped shield profits from higher tax jurisdictions[39].
These practices are legal, in part, because global tax governance has long been dominated by high-income countries and corporate interests. The OECD’s Base Erosion and Profit Shifting (BEPS) initiative and the Global Anti-Base Erosion (GLoBE) rules under Pillar Two, promised to curb corporate tax abuse. But the headline minimum corporate tax rate of 15 per cent, with a litany of exemptions[40], is far below what most countries require to reinvest revenue into public finance, and the deal contains many carveouts and loopholes that significantly undermine its redistributive potential. Many low and middle-income countries were not included in negotiations, and those who opt out of the deal risk exclusion from benefit-sharing or retaliatory measures.
Meanwhile, financial secrecy jurisdictions, from Switzerland and Singapore to Guernsey, continue to act as safe havens for hidden wealth and illicit financial flows. These jurisdictions allow firms and wealthy individuals to obscure their activities and ownership structures, and to benefit from weak international enforcement around automatic exchange of tax information and beneficial ownership transparency[41].
Investor state dispute settlement (ISDS) mechanisms also play a role in weakening tax sovereignty. Polluting companies and companies with aggressive tax planning strategies have used ISDS to challenge environmental policies and tax hikes. For example, British energy firm Rockhopper sued Italy for banning offshore oil drilling[42], and ExxonMobil has previously threatened to sue countries under investment treaties in response to proposed tax reforms. The mere threat of arbitration often has a chilling effect, deterring governments, particularly those already facing fiscal pressures, from pursuing needed reforms[43].
Constricted tax sovereignty is not an accident of history. It is the result of deliberate strategies backed by corporate lobbying, investor arbitration and political pressure. These strategies protect the wealth and emissions of a powerful minority, while shifting the cost of climate finance onto those least responsible for the crisis.
4.3 The politics of lost revenue: how tax sovereignty is captured and denied
Across the world, countries are failing to realise the full potential of their sovereign power to levy tax, but not for the same reasons. As previous sections have shown, many countries do not lack financial resources, but lack the political and structural capacity to claim them. The resulting scarcity narrative is not inevitable but manufactured. It is sustained by a global economic architecture that enables tax abuse and prioritises capital mobility.
Our climate finance slider tool illustrates that most countries, across income levels, have sufficient tax potential to raise meaningful revenue through the introducing of wealth taxes and the elimination of cross-border tax abuse. Yet, whether due to external constraints or internal political inertia, these options remain underused or blocked entirely.
In the Global South in particular, constraints include:
- Restrictive tax treaties
Many developing countries are bound by bilateral tax treaties that prioritise residence-based taxation, limiting their ability to tax income generated within their borders. Often, these treaties have been signed without much public scrutiny, at a time when those countries had little capacity to assess their impacts. The treaties are also ill-equipped to consider a country’s changing circumstances, such as growing climate financing needs. For instance, Uganda’s treaty with the Netherlands prevents Uganda from taxing certain income streams, resulting in lost revenues for Uganda, regardless of whether such income is taxed in the Netherlands[44]. Tax treaties can be renegotiated or terminated. However, countries that benefit from the current arrangements often resist renegotiation, and termination is a significant political and diplomatic step. Even if Global South countries decide to terminate a treaty, multinationals sometimes use stabilisation clauses (see below) to claim tax treaty benefits even after termination.[45]
- Profit shifting and transfer mispricing
Multinational corporations often shift profits out of resource-rich countries through mechanisms like inflated intra-group payments. These payments are deducted against the local tax base and can take the form of intra-group royalty payments, fees for management services or interest payments for intra-group financing, strategically provided by group companies abroad. In Zambia, for example, mining companies have engaged in such aggressive transfer pricing practices that reduce local taxable income on a massive scale, leading to significant revenue losses[46].
- Investor state dispute settlement mechanisms
As mentioned, ISDS provisions in international investment agreements allow corporations to challenge legitimate policy reforms in international tribunals. Investors in the fossil fuel sector have been frequent ISDS claimants. In Eco Oro v. Colombia, for example, the tribunal held that Colombia’s environmental mining ban decision violated the minimum standard of treatment in the investment section of the Colombia–Canada free trade agreement[47]. These disputes often involve tax matters, meaning ISDS’ regulatory chill can also stifle countries’ ability to shape tax policy. ISDS also affects Global North countries. For example, UK based oil refiner Klesch initiated arbitration against Germany, among other countries, after the EU passed a temporary windfall tax on excess profits from oil and gas activities known as the ‘solidarity contribution’[48].
- Tax incentives and stabilisation clauses
To attract foreign investment, some governments offer tax holidays and stabilisation clauses that lock in favourable tax terms for multinationals and their investors, limiting future legitimate tax policy changes such as the re-evaluation of tax incentives, the termination of tax treaties or the adoption of international policy reforms like the global minimum tax. Such clauses are common in long-term contracts within the extractive industries[49].
- Illicit financial flows and secrecy jurisdictions
Illicit financial flows, including trade misinvoicing and capital flight, drain public revenues. Nigeria, for example, loses billions annually due to under-invoiced oil exports and other illicit activities, with funds often ending up in offshore accounts facilitated by global financial intermediaries and enablers[50].
In the Global North, the problem is most often not constraint but the failure to exercise tax sovereignty fairly:
- Failure to tax extreme wealth
Despite growing calls for redistribution, most high-income countries continue to resist implementing wealth taxes[51]. By forgoing taxes on extreme wealth, rich country governments miss a critical opportunity to reduce inequality, raise public revenue and create the fiscal and political support needed to strengthen progressive tax systems. This refusal comes at a particularly high cost, as the richest households are also responsible for a vastly disproportionate share of emissions, in both consumption and investments[52]. The refusal is at least in part due to pervasive myths and misconceptions about the role and impact of tax and of how wealth is created. One recent example is extensive media reporting on a supposedly tax-driven “millionaire exodus” which did not actually occur[53].
- Deliberate weakening of corporate tax rules
Corporate lobbying has significantly shaped tax legislation, leading to lower rates and complex loopholes. In the United Kingdom and European Union, polluting sectors like aviation, shipping and fossil fuels have successfully lobbied to retain preferential tax treatment, including tax incentives, undermining both revenue collection and emissions reduction goals[54]. In the United States, the 50 largest companies spent US$2.5 billion on lobbying and received US$423 billion in tax breaks between 2008 and 2014[55].
- Continued tolerance of secrecy jurisdictions
Financial secrecy jurisdictions, including Switzerland, the United States and the United Kingdom’s network of Crown Dependencies, enable tax abuse on a massive scale. These centres remain largely untouched. They help obscure the wealth of elites, as well as the business activities and ownership structures of multinationals, including the strategic channelling of fossil fuel finance through opacity and offshoring[56].
- A hollow global minimum tax
The OECD’s global minimum corporate tax rate (15 per cent) under the Pillar Two framework has been widely criticised for being too low, riddled with loopholes and for failing to meaningfully redistribute taxing rights[57]. Carve-outs for tangible assets and payroll allow corporations to maintain effective tax rates below the agreed minimum[58]. Refundable tax credits can be used to incentivise the development of intellectual property under the GloBE, but these are cash-flow intensive and often too costly for Global South countries. Carve-outs and tax credits furthermore apply on the basis of ‘neutrality’: the rules allow countries to also incentivise environmentally harmful activities in as much as they allow incentivising environmentally sustainable activities.
The consequences of constrained or neglected tax sovereignty are not just theoretical. They play out in very concrete ways across both high and low-income countries. Whether it is a Global South government prevented from taxing extractive profits or a Global North government choosing not to tax excess wealth, the result is the same: foregone public revenue. As we have shown, these are not isolated policy failures. They are systemic outcomes of a global system of tax governance that privileges capital mobility over justice and entrenches inequalities.
This matters profoundly for climate finance. When governments allow trillions in tax revenue to go uncollected, they limit their ability to fund domestic transition plans. This locks the Global South into further dependency, whether through external debt, the commodification of natural resources through carbon markets, or overreliance on donor finance.
The false narrative of scarcity persists not because the revenue does not exist, but because governments are either unable or unwilling to collect it.
5. Case studies
The following case studies illustrate the global dynamics of tax sovereignty. One highlights how Global South countries are routinely blocked from claiming their taxing rights on polluting multinationals, even as they try to do so. The other shows how, in the Global North, countries exercise their sovereignty by actively deciding against taxing wealth. Together, they offer a window into the real political and capital barriers standing in the way of a just climate finance system.
5.1 Tanzania vs. Acacia Mining: Tax sovereignty in chains
Tanzania is Africa’s fourth-largest gold producer, with mining long seen as a key driver of development. Yet for years, the country collected little revenue from its gold mines. Generous mining contracts in the 1990s and 2000s granted foreign firms like Barrick Gold (operating in Tanzania via its subsidiary Acacia Mining) extensive tax incentives and stabilisation agreements. These deals, often negotiated behind closed doors, overrode general tax laws. This is a common practice in the African extractive sector that can undermine the sovereign use of taxing power.[59] Under such agreements, companies have enjoyed low royalty rates, tax holidays and other exemptions, leaving Tanzania with limited revenue from mining profits. Meanwhile, local communities have borne the brunt of environmental harm from mining waste and pollution. This underscores how multinationals frequently violate the polluter pays principle, operating profitably while underpaying tax and avoiding responsibility for environmental and social harms.
The dispute
President John Magufuli took office in 2015 on a promise to secure a larger share of resource wealth. In March 2017, Tanzania abruptly banned the export of unprocessed gold and copper concentrates, directly impacting Acacia, which derived about 30 per cent of its revenue from those exports[60]. A presidential committee report accused Acacia of under-reporting the gold and copper content of its shipments. On this basis, authorities issued Acacia with a US$190 billion tax bill, nearly four times Tanzania’s GDP, for years of allegedly unpaid taxes and penalties[61]. The government passed new laws to void some mining contracts, raised royalty rates and demanded state ownership stakes. Acacia denied the accusations of underpaying tax and misreporting the amount and value of gold and copper contained in its exports.
Unable to independently resolve the standoff, the company’s parent, Barrick Gold, intervened. At the same time, Acacia initiated international arbitration proceedings to contest Tanzania’s actions, invoking investor protection mechanisms. By 2019, Barrick moved to buy out Acacia’s remaining shareholders and strike a deal with the government. Barrick and Tanzania soon announced a framework to settle all claims. Key terms included:
- the formation of a new operating company jointly owned by Barrick and the Tanzanian state
- a US$300 million one-time payment to settle the tax claims
- a 16 per cent free equity stake in Acacia’s three major gold mines granted to Tanzania (a small fraction of the original US$190 billion claim)
- a 50/50 split of future economic profits from the mines between Barrick and the Tanzanian government
The outcome highlighted both Tanzania’s determination to assert its taxing rights and the significant barriers it faced in doing so.
Constraints to tax sovereignty
Tanzania’s clash with Acacia Mining became an example of the constraints facing Global South countries attempting to tax polluting industries on their own terms. Several structural barriers were exposed:
- Unequal tax treaties
Tanzania’s tax treaties have historically favoured foreign investors. Many treaties follow OECD standards that emphasise taxation in the investor’s home country (residence) over the source country (Tanzania). In prior tax treaty negotiations, Tanzania has often been made to accept these OECD clauses. This means Tanzania often loses rights to tax mining profits or must accept lower withholding rates on dividends, interest and royalties. Such treaty limitations have curbed Tanzania’s ability to tax mining income at the source, even though the gold was extracted from its soil. The treaties also do not consider the changed circumstances and revenue needs caused by the climate crisis. However, renegotiating these unfair tax treatiesis difficult and slow.
- Investor state dispute settlement
The dispute demonstrates the leverage that ISDS mechanisms give to companies. Acacia initiated arbitration under international investment agreements, and some shareholders believed the company had a strong chance of winning against Tanzania[62]. An adverse ruling could have forced Tanzania to pay enormous damages or reverse its policies. Tanzania’s government had already been rattled by a prior ICSID arbitration case. Fearing costly litigation and large payouts enforced abroad, Tanzania’s lawmakers moved in 2017 to outlaw international arbitration for natural resource contracts, insisting that disputes be settled in domestic courts[63]. While this reasserted a form of sovereignty, it also sparked concern among investors and did not negate ongoing cases.
- Profit shifting and commodity mispricing
The US$190 billion claim shed light on potential profit shifting and tax abuse. Audits alleged that Acacia understated the mineral content of exports for years[64]. By under-reporting gold and copper yields, a company can shift profits out of the country, for instance by selling the minerals to an affiliated trader at an artificially low value, thereby reducing taxable income in Tanzania. Multinationals often exploit such practices, including creative transfer pricing and use of offshore subsidiaries in low tax jurisdictions. Tanzania’s experience fits a broader pattern: African countries lose many billions annually in illicit financial outflows, much of it through corporate practices that underpay tax or involve outright evasion[65].
- Tax incentives and investor stability clauses
The roots of the dispute trace back to the very contracts and incentives that originally attracted foreign investment. In a phase of rapid development, Tanzania granted extensive tax concessions to mining companies. Some mining agreements included stabilisation clauses that locked in low royalty and tax rates, insulating companies from any future unfavourable law changes. These incentives severely limited Tanzania’s tax take once mines became productive. Mining contracts are notorious for being negotiated without public oversight, and such deals can override parliament’s taxing power, limiting the reach of local tax authorities. The Tanzanian government grew frustrated that, despite high gold prices and sizable production, companies paid only minimal royalties and had not paid income tax for many years. In effect, Tanzania’s own contracts, crafted under donor and investor influence, had constrained its tax sovereignty. Renegotiating these contracts proved challenging.
- Administrative and capacity limitations
The case also revealed gaps in technical and administrative capacity. Auditing a multinational miner’s true output and profits is a complex task. Weaknesses in routine monitoring allowed underreporting to go undetected for years. Moreover, handling high-stakes negotiations and legal battles required special expertise. Tanzania found itself outsourcing negotiations to the parent company because direct talks with Acacia had broken down. In preparing for arbitration, it would likely have had to hire expensive international law firms. All of this underscores the administrative constraint: even when political will exists to claim more revenue, capacity shortfalls remain, from skilled tax auditors and geologists to experienced negotiators and legal counsel.
Resolution
By early 2020, the dispute was resolved in principle with the formation of a new joint venture to manage Barrick’s Tanzanian mines. Under the finalised agreement, Tanzania would hold a 16 per cent equity stake in each mine, which may be of lower fiscal value because dividends can be deferred and debt loaded, while Barrick retained 84 per cent ownership but agreed to split profits and economic benefits evenly with the government[66]. The one time US$300 million settlement payment was made to clear all outstanding tax claims, and Tanzania lifted the concentrate export ban, allowing operations to gradually resume. In exchange, Barrick gained assurances of stability and an end to further litigation related to the dispute.
However, it is notable that the final terms required major Tanzanian concessions compared to the country’s initial demands. The US$190 billion figure was pared down to US$300 million. The new 50/50 split of net profits, which can delay and reduce revenue compared with a sales-based royalty[67], can be seen as a revenue-sharing mechanism that allowed Tanzania to only recover a fraction of the tax it might have collected through standard channels. The resolution came only after Tanzania asserted its sovereign powers by changing laws and issuing large tax claims, but it ultimately had to compromise. This outcome illustrates how difficult it is for a Global South country to fundamentally renegotiate the terms of extraction once contracts have been signed and operations are underway.
Implications for tax sovereignty and climate finance
Tanzania’s experience with Acacia Mining encapsulates the complex challenges of preserving tax sovereignty to undertake legitimate tax policy reform, particularly over polluting multinationals, within an international tax governance system skewed in favour of corporations. The case highlights how legal structures, corporate practices and capacity constraints can come together to limit a nation’s ability to hold extractors and polluters accountable. These tax sovereignty struggles have direct implications for climate justice and finance:
- Erosion of the polluter pays principle
Effective climate action demands that those who cause environmental damage bear the costs. Yet, as seen in Tanzania, mining companies can operate profitably while contributing minimally to offset the damage they cause. This not only undermines accountability and public trust but also deprives governments of resources needed for climate change mitigation and adaptation.
- Draining climate finance at the source
Developing countries like Tanzania are often seen as reliant on international climate finance. However, a fair global tax system could significantly boost their domestic public budgets, making them less dependent on climate finance from donor countries or aid. Tax revenue lost to profit shifting and unfair treaties directly translates into less money for investments in renewable energy, climate resilient infrastructure and adaptation and mitigation. This loss is especially consequential in the Global South, where governments rely more on corporate tax income and are most vulnerable to the effects of climate breakdown.
The cost of sovereignty
Tanzania’s bold stance carries lessons for other countries.
On the one hand, it demonstrates that countries can try pushing back against unfair corporate tax deals and can overcome the policy freeze caused by ‘legacy’ treaties. On the other, it reveals the risks of retaliation and capital flight. Some investors may have reassessed Tanzania’s investment climate during the dispute. This underscores the need for international frameworks and stronger global rules that reconcile long-term, stable investment pathways with tax justice. There is a clear and longstanding asymmetry at play, as evidenced by dispute settlements: Global South states like Tanzania are defendants far more often than claimants, and many tax disputes are settled in opaque tribunals with little accountability. Reform can help but must be far reaching — including rules to change tax treaties, multilateral agreements that set minimum tax floors for extractive industries, and avoid ISDS in tax dispute resolution in order to protect states’ rights to tax. Climate finance advocates are increasingly recognising that stable domestic revenue-raising is essential to a sustainable transition[68]. Climate justice requires tax justice.
5.2 The United Kingdom: Captured not to tax wealth
The UK provides a stark counterpoint to Tanzania’s experience. It is a Global North nation with a very different relation to tax sovereignty. In particular, the UK’s persistent refusal to implement a wealth tax highlights how political and economic capture, not just technical capacity, shape tax outcomes.
Colonial legacy and the rise of tax havens
Britain’s colonial history set the stage for many of today’s tax policy choices. During decolonisation in the mid-20th century, British elites and institutions cultivated a “second empire” of tax havens in Crown Dependencies and Overseas Territories[69]. As formal colonies gained independence, London and the City of London encouraged jurisdictions such as the Channel Islands (Jersey and Guernsey) and Caribbean territories (Bermuda, Cayman Islands, British Virgin Islands, etc.) to take on new roles as secretive offshore financial centres[70]. This “archipelago capitalism” was explicitly rooted in the British imperial decline. For example, in the 1950s, the UK encouraged its remaining dependencies to provide offshore services as a form of “development” after centuries of extracting wealth[71]. Today, many of the world’s tax havens are former British colonies or dependencies[72] and the UK’s network of havens is responsible for facilitating nearly 26 per cent of global tax revenue losses each year. In essence, the UK helped create a global system that enables wealth to escape taxation – a legacy of colonial wealth protection that continues to benefit elites.
This legacy places Britain at the centre of a vast financial secrecy network or spider’s web. It enables multinational companies and wealthy individuals, including British elites, to shift profits and assets offshore while paying minimal tax. The UK and its so-called “second empire,” which includes tax havens such as Jersey, the British Virgin Islands and the Cayman Islands, together constitute the world’s greatest enabler of corporate tax abuse, responsible for round 23 per cent of global corporate tax underpayment[73]. This historical context is critical. It illustrates how the UK’s economic elite have long benefitted from asset protection structures, reducing political pressure on governments to introduce or expand wealth taxation.
Inequality up, wealth tax off the table
Despite this history, or perhaps because of it, the UK has never implemented a wealth tax. The closest attempt came in the 1970s, when a Labour government pledged to tax the net wealth of the rich. The effort quickly faltered under intense pushback from wealthy individuals and the establishment. The proposal was abandoned amid claims that the rich would find ways to avoid it and that it would not raise much revenue. Since then, no British government has introduced an annual tax on overall net wealth. The UK therefore stands out among major economies, particularly in Europe, for its refusal to directly tax large fortunes. While some wealth taxes in Europe have been repealed under pressure, many countries previously had them in place. Some, such as Spain, have reintroduced wealth taxes in recent years.
Britain, however, has never enacted one at all. As pointed out by the UK Wealth Tax Commission, while the UK has several ways of taxing wealthy people on a recurring basis, these existing taxes are seriously defective, making them inefficient, inequitable and too easy to avoid. Since long, the Commission suggests to reform existing taxes on wealth and introduce a net wealth tax for the specific purpose of reducing inequality, which has steadily grown[74]. Over the past few decades, the richest have moved significantly ahead of the rest of society. Billionaires and multi-millionaires have multiplied in both number and net worth, while ordinary workers have faced stagnant wages and prolonged austerity. The Sunday Times Rich List recorded just 15 UK billionaires in 1990. By 2023, that number had risen to 171, each holding an average of £4 billion[75]. This explosion of private wealth has not been matched by corresponding increases in public revenue or redistribution efforts. Even as public finances have come under greater strain than ever before, for example after the 2008 financial crisis, the COVID-19 pandemic, and more recently due to rising defence spending, successive governments have ruled out a wealth tax. During the pandemic, when the fiscal cost of emergency measures exploded, the UK Wealth Tax Commission explicitly recommended a one-time wealth tax on millionaire households as “the fairest and most efficient” way to repair public finances[76]. The Conservative government ignored these calls and instead introduced further spending cuts and increased regressive indirect taxes. In effect, the UK has chosen not to draw on the vast concentration of private wealth for the public good, even when the need was clear and the policy tools were available.
Political and structural barriers to taxing wealth
The UK’s political establishment has deep ties to wealthy elites. The City of London has long exerted an outsized influence on policy, famously becoming “the dominant political force in Britain” since the 19th century[77]. This influence has shaped a dominant policy paradigm that favours low taxation on capital and high net worth individuals in the name of competitiveness. Policymakers frequently invoke fears that a wealth tax would drive wealthy individuals and investors out of the UK. These narratives, while not evidence-based, are heavily promoted by the financial sector and elite lobbyists and echo the very dynamics that created the offshore system.
The UK’s (former) non-dom tax regime is a striking example of how the country has courted global wealth. It allowed resident wealthy foreigners and some UK nationals to avoid tax on overseas income, reinforcing London’s appeal as a tax haven for elites. Such policies entrench a powerful lobby opposed to progressive tax measures.
Importantly, many political decision-makers themselves are drawn from the upper echelons of wealth, making them more sympathetic to anti-wealth tax arguments. The finance industry and wealthy individuals fund research and campaigns to dissuade new taxes on wealth, framing them as “unworkable” or harmful to Britain’s economy. This lobbying was evident as far back as the 1970s, when the original wealth tax proposal was deemed untenable, and continues today behind the scenes. The result is a policy stalemate. Even as public opinion polls consistently show support for higher taxes on the rich, the idea is repeatedly dismissed in Westminster.
The UK’s structural role in global finance also plays a part. London is a hub for managing the assets of the global rich, including oligarchs and billionaires whose fortunes are often held in trust funds, luxury real estate and shell companies. Taxing extreme wealth would mean confronting this lucrative status quo, including the financial interests of banks, law firms and accountancy firms, which serve as key enablers of tax abuse and secrecy. The UK government has consistently shown reluctance to impose reforms that might jeopardise the City’s competitiveness. For example, it has long resisted implementing transparent registers of beneficial ownership[78]. This combination of elite influence, a competitiveness-based ideology and deep entanglement with offshore finance has kept a wealth tax off the UK policy agenda.
Missing billions: wealth tax potential vs tax abuse losses
The fiscal costs of the UK’s policy choices are immense. By not taxing the wealth of the richest, the UK forgoes a significant source of revenue. These are funds that could support public services, defence spending and climate action. Various studies have demonstrated the magnitude of potential funds available. For example, the independent Wealth Tax Commission concluded that a one-off wealth tax on millionaire households (5 per cent on wealth above £1 million, payable over five years) could raise around £260 billion[79]. Even a more modest levy limited to the ultra-rich would yield notable revenue. Research for the UK’s Trades Union Congress found that a one-off tax of 1.7 per cent on wealth above £3 million, and 3.5 per cent above £10 million, would deliver about £10 billion. Annual wealth taxes, for instance a progressive yearly tax on fortunes of the top 0.5% of the population could raise €32 billion annually in the UK[80]. These figures illustrate how much fiscal capacity remains untapped and how wealth taxes could slow down rising wealth inequality, create space for further progressive taxation and prioritise urgent public revenue raising.
At the same time, the UK loses huge sums of revenue through underpaid tax and legal loopholes that largely benefit the same wealthy corporations and individuals. The UK, having orchestrated its role at the centre of the “spiderweb”, is consistently one of the world’s biggest losers of tax revenue to global tax abuse[81]. Multinational companies shifting profits out of Britain, along with individuals hiding assets offshore, cost the UK Treasury tens of billions of pounds each year. For example, British corporations can route profits through Luxembourg or one of UK’s own jurisdictions, such as Bermuda, to avoid domestic tax. Wealthy UK residents also use trusts in UK Crown Dependency and offshore financial centres like Jersey to reduce or conceal their tax liabilities. The UK’s leadership in the global tax abuse architecture undermines its own tax base and sovereignty. This creates a paradox in which it forfeits revenue both through commission, by enabling underpayment of tax, and omission, by choosing not to tax wealth directly.
Climate justice implications
The refusal to tax the wealthy has profound consequences not only for inequality and public services, but also for climate justice. Wealth and carbon emissions are closely intertwined. The richest individuals are by far the largest polluters. The wealthiest 1 per cent of people globally were responsible for an estimated 15 to16 per cent of worldwide emissions in 2019, a share roughly equal to the total emissions of the poorest two-thirds of humanity[82]. In the UK and other high-income countries, millionaires and billionaires lead carbon-intensive lifestyles, including flying private jets, owning multiple mansions and yachts, and investing in high emitting industries. These patterns of consumption result in disproportionately large carbon footprints.
A wealth tax in the UK could help advance climate justice in at least two ways. First, even modestly slowing the concentration of extreme wealth could indirectly reduce the emissions of the superrich, particularly if the tax is designed to capture wealth tied to carbon intensive assets, such as polluting investment portfolios[83]. Second, and more importantly in the short term, a wealth tax would raise substantial revenue that could be directed towards transition plans and global climate finance. Climate breakdown requires financing for mitigation, adaptation, and loss and damage, both within the UK and in support of vulnerable nations. Yet wealthy governments often claim that “resources are unavailable” for these needs. A UK wealth tax would be a way to mobilise new funds from those most able to pay – and if designed correctly, for example through exit taxes, it poses virtually no risk of capital flight. Just a fraction of the Wealth Tax Commission’s proposed wealth tax, with revenues up to £260 billion, could fund the UK’s entire contribution to the various international climate finance goals discussed in this report. Under the largest fund size of £2.6 trillion, the UK’s contribution would be £113 billion. A wealth tax would not only cover the contribution, but also leave over £147 billion for domestic investments in renewable energy and home insulation.
By refusing to implement a wealth tax, the richest continue to pollute with impunity, while public funding for the green transition remains underfunded. This is especially glaring given the UK’s historical responsibility for emissions as the birthplace of the industrial revolution, and its current financial capability to contribute. While a wealth tax is not a silver bullet for climate finance, it is a powerful and complementary tool.
A tale of two tax sovereignties: UK vs Tanzania
The contrast between the United Kingdom and a country like Tanzania underscores the theme of tax sovereignty and a country’s sovereign ability to tax. In the Tanzanian case, a nation in the Global South is effectively denied full use of its sovereign tax powers by external factors and anachronisms, including colonial economic structures, unfair international tax rules and the practices of multinational companies that erode Tanzania’s tax base. Tanzania’s fiscal capacity to fund public services and climate adaptation is undermined by a system largely designed outside its control.
The United Kingdom presents a different scenario. The UK Government’s departments for the design of tax laws and for the collection of those taxes are among the world’s most advanced. The United Kingdom can make sovereign choices to exercise its power to tax, yet it chooses not to exercise this power when it comes to taxing the rich. Unlike Tanzania, any constraints on the UK’s power to tax extreme wealth are a reflection of political and economic capture by the interests of capital. For example, the potential for a new Labour government to introduce more progressive tax measures on the super-rich led to a huge wave of media coverage on the possibility of a ‘millionaire exodus’. While the statistical basis for such a claim was subsequently debunked, the government was understood to have been strongly swayed by the response[84]. Despite clearly having the legislative and administrative capacity to do so, Britain chooses not to levy a wealth tax, whether on an annual basis or as a one-off instance to finance extraordinary public measures, as some countries did during the COVID-19 pandemic. The contrast is striking: one country is unable to collect the revenue it desperately needs, while the other is failing to collect revenue that is readily available.
The cases of Tanzania and the UK illustrate a dynamic that undermines climate justice for all. When countries like Tanzania are blocked from exercising their taxing rights over multinationals and collecting the revenue they are owed for public budgets, they are increasingly forced to rely on international climate finance — funding that wealthier countries like the UK have consistently failed to deliver[85]. But this is not just a burden for the Global South. Strengthening the ability of lower-income countries to raise domestic revenue through fairer global tax rules would reduce their reliance on aid, external loans and the unsustainable debt these often generate. At the same time, it would ease pressure on richer countries to fill the climate finance gap by contributing their fair share through their own public budgets, rather than relying on voluntary pledges or private finance.
6. From diagnosis to design: policy implications and next steps
The following recommendations are designed to help create a just and sustainable climate finance system by reclaiming tax sovereignty as a means of addressing both the domestic climate crisis and the global climate finance gap. At the heart of these proposals is the UN Framework Convention on International Tax Cooperation (UNFCTC), which offers a unique opportunity to rebalance global tax systems. By focusing on tax sovereignty and how countries make use of it, we can transform global tax governance to better fund climate transitions and strengthen domestic public finance budgets. The following recommendations are structured for international processes, civil society organisations (CSOs), and technical tax reforms.
Civil society organizations (CSOs) and the public: advocate for global tax justice and the UN tax convention
- Mainstream the UN tax convention’s critical role in tax sovereignty and climate finance
Civil society must elevate the importance of the UN tax convention within broader climate and tax justice movements. The UN tax convention represents a critical framework for reevaluating countries’ use of their national tax sovereignty and for resetting current choices that overly privilege multinational corporations and financial elites. It is these skewed uses of tax sovereignty that currently allow companies and financial elites to capture global tax rules. By supporting an inclusive and equitable UN tax convention, civil society organizations can help ensure that countries in the Global South regain the ability to tax polluting industries and wealth that has historically been hidden in secrecy jurisdictions and tax havens. This is not a technical exercise. It is a moral and political necessity for climate justice. A sensible use of tax sovereignty is central to public budgets. Countries need fiscal power to fund their own climate transitions. Civil society should push governments to support the UN tax convention and ensure that tax rules, especially those related to wealth, profit shifting and polluting industries, reduce inequality.
- Mobilise support for the UN tax convention in national and international spaces
Civil society organizations from both the economic and climate justice spaces should advocate together for inclusive tax negotiations at the United Nations where countries in the Global South have an equal say, emphasising the sovereign right of nations to regulate taxes and ensure that the polluter pays and common but differentiated responsibilities principles can be operationalised in both domestic and international contexts. In addition to financial contributions, countries must take on their fair share of responsibility by agreeing to reform international tax rules to allow developing nations to raise the revenue they need for both climate finance and broader social goals, such as public services and poverty reduction.
- Build public awareness and grassroots mobilisation
It is critical to educate the publicabout the interdependence between tax sovereignty, climate finance and public budgets. In many high-income countries, tax abuse by wealthy individuals and corporations is central to the inability of governments to meet their climate finance pledges, and a key driver of austerity policies. By connecting the dots between tax justice and climate justice, civil society organisations can help shift public opinion to demand tax justice at home and fair climate contributions abroad. Campaigns should emphasise that tax justice is not only an issue for governments and corporations. It is a question of human rights and global responsibility, particularly in the context of the climate crisis.
- Highlight the role of corporate capture and tax avoidance in blocking climate finance
Civil society organisations must lead public facing advocacy campaigns that showcase how multinational corporations and wealthy elites use tax abuse to undermine national revenue collection, especially in low-incomeand climate-vulnerable countries. Civil society organisations can leverage international media and investigative reporting to name and shame those who underpay tax that could otherwise fund climate mitigation and adaptation efforts in the Global South, especially when assets are concentrated in polluting sectors. This is not only a tax issue, but a climate justice issue, as uncollected taxes from the wealthiest entities make it harder for nations to finance their own transitions.
Concrete technical tax reforms: the UN tax convention as a structural solution
The UN tax convention offers structural reforms that are vital for both restoring tax sovereignty and establishing the conditions to raise fair and sustainable climate finance. Below, we offer some key reforms that the UN tax convention could introduce to overhaul global tax governance and address the climate finance crisis:
- Re-establish the space for progressive taxation, including of wealth
The UN tax convention has the potential to re-establish the policy space for fully progressive taxation of income, profits and wealth, to the benefit of all people. The negotiations provide an unprecedented opportunity to strengthen the tax sovereignty of all countries, through effective and globally inclusive cooperation. The convention can deliver agreement to eliminate the financial secrecy that underpins cross-border tax abuse and all other illicit financial flows, as well as setting the basis for tax rules that end the inequalities in the distribution of taxing rights faced by countries in the global south. The transparency required should include a global asset registry to share data on the ultimate beneficial ownership of companies, partnerships and other vehicles, alongside the automatic exchange of information about financial accounts. These measures would restore every country’s sovereignty to pursue nationally chosen wealth taxes and make them fully effective.
- Multilateral tax reforms to address loss and damage
The convention should explicitly link tax reforms to the global agenda on loss and damage. Better tax rules could reallocate resources from high income countries to more vulnerable nations facing the worst climate impacts. The convention could provide the framework for countries to contribute to climate finance through progressive taxes on multinational profits, wealth and carbon intensive industries, with the explicit goal of financing loss and damage in a more sustainable and predictable way. Such an approach would embed the polluter pays and common but differentiated responsibilities principles at the global level.
- Tax treaties to reflect climate justice
The UN tax convention offers an opportunity to reform the way in which countries allocate among themselves the right to tax profits from cross-border business activities. At present, many bilateral tax treaties disproportionately benefit wealthy countries and multinational corporations, often at the expense of lower-income countries. These treaties frequently prevent states from taxing foreign multinationals doing business in their territories, cutting off a potential source of revenue for climate finance. Under the UN tax convention, bilateral tax treaties’ skewed allocation rules could be replaced by a multilateral agreement on the fair allocation of taxing rights that better reflects source countries’ sovereign right to tax profits from local activities. A similar multinational framework could establish rules to ensure that countries can tax wealthy individuals operating within their borders, particularly those linked to carbon intensive sectors.
- End the race to the bottom
The UN tax convention could offer a solution to the race to the bottom in tax competition, particularly in relation to secrecy jurisdictions and offshore finance. Because capital and income are highly mobile, these jurisdictions’ decision to offer secrecy and encourage tax abuse has a beggar thy neighbour effect, making it harder for other countries to use their sovereign power to tax income and capital. By implementing a more comprehensive global minimum tax rate and robust transparency standards, the convention could curb the ability of countries to act as tax havens for multinational corporations, which are currently major enablers of illicit financial flows. These jurisdictions deprive lower income countries of billions in lost source revenue, worsening global inequality and accelerating the climate crisis. By setting international norms, the UN tax convention could help prevent countries from undermining the fiscal autonomy of others through predatory tax practices.
- A global dispute resolution mechanism
One of the most critical features of the UN tax convention could be the establishment of a multilateral dispute resolution mechanism that deals with conflicts between countries or between countries and taxpayers regarding a country’s exercise of its tax sovereignty. Such a mechanism would replace and prevent the Investor-State Dispute Settlement in investment agreements from blocking progressive tax reforms. ISDS has been used by multinational corporations to sue governments for changing tax laws, undermining sovereignty and stalling necessary climate legislation. The UN tax convention could introduce binding multilateral rules that would render ISDS provisions obsolete, allowing countries to prioritise tax sovereignty and climate policies without fear of costly legal challenges from corporations. A new mechanism would settle disputes holistically, taking into account sustainable development in a balanced and integrated way across economic, social and environmental dimensions.[86]
[1] ‘Global Landscape of Climate Finance 2023’, CPI <https://www.climatepolicyinitiative.org/publication/global-landscape-of-climate-finance-2023/> [accessed 27 February 2025].
[2] Franziska Mager and Sergio Chaparro, Delivering Climate Justice Using the Principles of Tax Justice: A Guide for Climate Justice Advocates <https://taxjustice.net/wp-content/uploads/2023/06/Policy-brief-climate-justice_2206.pdf>.
[3] The State of Tax Justice 2024 <https://taxjustice.net/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/State-of-Tax-Justice-2024-English-Tax-Justice-Network.pdf> [accessed 12 February 2025].
[4] The Christian Aid Poverty Report: Reimagining Paths to Human Flourishing <https://www.christianaid.org.uk/sites/default/files/2022-08/the-christian-aid-poverty-report.pdf> [accessed 6 June 2025].
[5] Franziska Mager, Markus Meinzer and Lucas Millán, ‘How Corporate Tax Incentives Undermine Climate Justice’.
[6] Alex Cobham and Franziska Mager, Seven Principles of Good Taxation for Climate Finance <https://taxjustice.net/wp-content/uploads/2024/12/Principles-of-good-taxation-for-climate-finance-December-2024-Tax-Justice-Network.pdf> [accessed 28 December 2024].
[7] Hans Peter Dejgaard and others, Climate Finance Shadow Report 2023: Assessing the Delivery of the $100 Billion Commitment (5 June 2023) <https://policy-practice.oxfam.org/resources/climate-finance-shadow-report-2023-621500/> [accessed 19 June 2023].
‘Global Landscape of Climate Finance 2023’.
[9] ‘A New Climate Finance Goal Is on the Horizon. How Can Developing Countries Benefit? | UN Trade and Development (UNCTAD)’, 2024 <https://unctad.org/news/new-climate-finance-goal-horizon-how-can-developing-countries-benefit> [accessed 27 February 2025].
[10] ‘Public Investment Required to Achieve Climate Neutrality in Germany’.
[11] International Energy Agency, An Energy Sector Roadmap to Net Zero Emissions in Indonesia (2022) <https://www.oecd.org/en/publications/an-energy-sector-roadmap-to-net-zero-emissions-in-indonesia_4a9e9439-en.html> [accessed 21 February 2025].
[12] ‘Climate Change Committee: Reducing Emissions 87% by 2040 Would Help “Cut Household Costs by £1,400”’, Carbon Brief, 2025 <https://www.carbonbrief.org/ccc-reducing-emissions-87-by-2040-would-help-cut-household-costs-by-1400/> [accessed 6 June 2025].
[13] Global Landscape of Climate Finance 2024: Insights for COP29 <https://www.climatepolicyinitiative.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/10/Global-Landscape-of-Climate-Finance-2024.pdf> [accessed 7 June 2025].
[14] Mira Alestig and others, ‘Carbon Inequality Kills: Why Curbing the Excessive Emissions of an Elite Few Can Create a Sustainable Planet for All’.
[15] Thomas Piketty, Emmanuel Saez and Stefanie Stantcheva, ‘Optimal Taxation of Top Labor Incomes: A Tale of Three Elasticities – American Economic Association’, American Economic Journal: Economic Policy, 6/1 (2014) <https://www.aeaweb.org/articles?id=10.1257/pol.6.1.230> [accessed 7 June 2025].
[16] Joanna Cabello, Ilona Hartlieb and De Ploeg, ‘A Brief History of Colonialism, Climate Change and Carbon Markets’, SOMO, 2024 <https://www.somo.nl/history-colonialism-climate-change-carbon-markets/> [accessed 6 June 2025].
[17] Beyond Extractivism: Towards a Feminst and Just Economic Transtion in Morocco and Egypt <https://www.greenpeace.org/static/planet4-mena-stateless/2025/02/ce97182f-beyond-extractivism_-towards-a-feminist-and-just-economic-transition-in-morocco-and-egypt-report-eng.pdf> [accessed 20 February 2025].
[18] Mager and Chaparro, Delivering Climate Justice Using the Principles of Tax Justice: A Guide for Climate Justice Advocates.
[19] Katarina Ruhland, ‘Explainer: What Is the Polluter Pays Principle?’, Earth.Org, 2024 <https://earth.org/explainer-what-is-the-polluter-pays-principle-and-how-can-it-be-used-in-climate-policy/> [accessed 14 May 2024].
[20] Mager, Meinzer and Millán, ‘How Corporate Tax Incentives Undermine Climate Justice’.
[21] Alison Schultz and Franziska Mager, How ‘greenlaundering’ Conceals the Full Scale of Fossil Fuel Financing <https://taxjustice.net/reports/climate-betrayal-how-greenlaundering-conceals-the-full-scale-of-fossil-fuel-financing/> [accessed 28 December 2024].
[22] Alex Cobham, The International Tax Consequences Od President Trump <https://taxjustice.net/wp-content/uploads/2025/02/The-international-tax-consequences-of-Pres-Trump-Tax-Justice-Network-Feb-2025.pdf> [accessed 16 April 2025].
[23] Alison Schultz and Miroslav Palanský, ‘Taxing Extreme Wealth: What Countries around the World Could Gain from Progressive Wealth Taxes’, #2024-02, 2024 <https://osf.io/pux5e/> [accessed 19 April 2025].
[24] Miroslav Palanský and Alison Schultz, Formulary Apportionment in BEFIT: A Path to Fair Corporate Taxation <https://taxjustice.net/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/Formulary_apportionment_in_BEFIT-Tax-Justice-Network-2024.pdf> [accessed 8 June 2025].
[25] Alex Cobham and Petr Janský, Global Distribution of Revenue Loss from Tax Avoidance: Re-Estimation and Country Results <https://www.wider.unu.edu/publication/global-distribution-revenue-loss-tax-avoidance> [accessed 11 June 2025].
[26] The State of Tax Justice 2024.
[27] Schultz and Palanský, ‘TJN WP 2024-02’.
[28] Alex Cobham, The Uncounted <https://politybooks.com/bookdetail?book_slug=the-uncounted–9781509536016> [accessed 22 May 2025].
[29] In some cases, estimates exclude potential revenues from a wealth tax due to missing data, which can underestimate a country’s fiscal potential and lead to misclassification. These should therefore be interpreted as lower-bound estimates. For more detailed information, see the accompanying Methodology Note.
[30] ‘What Do We Know and What Should We Do About Tax Justice?’, SAGE Publications Ltd, 2025 <https://uk.sagepub.com/en-gb/eur/what-do-we-know-and-what-should-we-do-about-tax-justice/book286416> [accessed 20 April 2025].
[31] Abel Gwaindepi, ‘Taxation in Africa since Colonial Times’.
[32] Gerald M. Easter, ‘Capacity, Consent and Tax Collection in Post-Communist States’, in Taxation and State-Building in Developing Countries: Capacity and Consent, ed. by Deborah Brautigam, Mick Moore, and Odd-Helge Fjeldstad (Cambridge, 2008), 64–88 <https://www.cambridge.org/core/books/taxation-and-statebuilding-in-developing-countries/capacity-consent-and-tax-collection-in-postcommunist-states/9A667B72EACC110993502B1822D0B825> [accessed 21 April 2025].
‘A Tax Justice Lens on Palestine’, Tax Justice Network, 2025 <https://taxjustice.net/2025/04/09/a-tax-justice-lens-on-palestine/> [accessed 20 April 2025].
[34] The State of Tax Justice 2024.
[35] John Christensen, ‘The Looting Continues: Tax Havens and Corruption’, Critical Perspectives on International Business, Critical perspectives on international business. – Emerald Group Publishing Limited, ISSN 1758-6062, ZDB-ID 2188056-6. – Vol. 7.2011, 2, p. 177-196, 7/2 (2011).
[36] ‘African CSOs Rally Support for the Africa Group as UN Tax Convention Negotiations Gather Pace’, Tax Justice Network Africa (TJNA), 2024 <https://taxjusticeafrica.net/resources/news/african-csos-rally-support-africa-group-un-tax-convention-negotiations-gather-pace> [accessed 20 April 2025].
[37] The State of Tax Justice 2024.
[38] Joanna Partridge and Jasper Jolly, ‘Shell Paid Zero Windfall Tax in UK despite Record Global Profits’, The Guardian, 27 October 2022, section Business <https://www.theguardian.com/business/2022/oct/27/shell-doubles-its-profits-to-95bn> [accessed 21 April 2025].
[39] Dan Smith, Offshore Shell Games: The Use of Offshore Tax Havens by the Top 100 Publicly Traded Companies (July 2013) <https://publicinterestnetwork.org/wp-content/uploads/2013/07/Offshore_Shell_Games_USPIRG.pdf> [accessed 21 April 2025].
[40] ‘The Global Tax Rate Is Now a Tax Haven Rewards Programme, and Switzerland Wants in First’, Tax Justice Network, 2023 <https://taxjustice.net/2023/04/06/the-global-tax-rate-is-now-a-tax-haven-rewards-programme-and-switzerland-wants-in-first/> [accessed 3 June 2024].
[41] ‘Financial Secrecy Index – Tax Justice Network’ <https://fsi.taxjustice.net/> [accessed 21 April 2025].
[42] Joe Lo, ‘British Company Forces Italy to Pay €190m for Offshore Oil Ban’, Climate Home News, 2022 <https://www.climatechangenews.com/2022/08/24/british-company-forces-italy-to-pay-e190m-for-offshore-oil-ban/> [accessed 21 April 2025].
[43] ‘Case Studies: Investor-State Attacks on Public Interest Policies’, 2015 <https://www.citizen.org/wp-content/uploads/egregious-investor-state-attacks-case-studies_4.pdf> [accessed 21 April 2025].
[44] Mistreated: The Tax Treaties That Are Depriving the World’s Poorest Countries of Vital Revenue (February 2016) <https://actionaid.org/sites/default/files/actionaid_-_mistreated_tax_treaties_report_-_feb_2016.pdf?utm_source=chatgpt.com> [accessed 21 April 2025].
[45] See, for example, the case of Mongolia after its termination of the tax treaty with the Netherlands in 2013 where foreign investors in a local copper mine continued claiming tax benefits in the terminated treaty based on stabilisation agreements.
[46] ‘Building Capacity to Prevent Profit Shifting by Large Companies in Zambia’.
[47] TREATY-BASED INVESTOR–STATE DISPUTE SETTLEMENT CASES AND CLIMATE ACTION (2022).
[48] ‘Klesch v Germany Arbitral Decision of 23/07/2024 Ordering Germany to Refrain from Collecting the Windfall Tax Set by EU Law’ <https://baldon-avocats.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/10/Klesch-v-Germany_TCE_2024.pdf> [accessed 8 May 2025].
[49] Howard Mann and Alexandra Readhead, Evolving Standards on Stabilization: A Practical Guide to the Organisation for Economic Co-Operation and Development’s Guiding Principles on Durable Extractive Contracts, Principles VII and VIII <https://www.iisd.org/system/files/2025-03/evolving-stabilization-standards-mining.pdf>.
[50] Trade-Related Illicit Financial Flows in 135 Developing Countries: 2008-2017 (March 2020) <https://edicon.consejo.org.ar/wp-content/uploads/2020/11/155.-GFI_Illicit-Flows-135-Developing-Countries.2020.pdf> [accessed 21 April 2025].
[51] Emmanuel Saez and Gabriel Zucman, ‘Wealth Taxation: Lessons from History and Recent Developments’, AEA Papers and Proceedings, 112 (2022), 58–62.
[52] Alestig and others, ‘Carbon Inequality Kills: Why Curbing the Excessive Emissions of an Elite Few Can Create a Sustainable Planet for All’.
[53] Tax Justice Network, The Millionaire Exodus Myth <https://taxjustice.net/reports/the-millionaire-exodus-myth/> [accessed 11 June 2025].
[54] Mager, Meinzer and Millán, ‘How Corporate Tax Incentives Undermine Climate Justice’.
[55] Rigged Reform (April 2017) <https://s3.amazonaws.com/oxfam-us/www/static/media/files/Rigged_Reform_FINAL.pdf> [accessed 21 April 2025].
[56] Schultz and Mager, How ‘greenlaundering’ Conceals the Full Scale of Fossil Fuel Financing.
[57] TAXING MULTINATIONALS: THE BEPS PROPOSALS AND ALTERNATIVES, 6 July 2023 <https://www.southcentre.int/sc-contribution-taxing-multinationals-the-beps-proposals-and-alternatives-6-july-2023/> [accessed 21 April 2025].
[58] ICRICT Evaluation of the OECD/G2O Two-Pillar Solution (28 September 2024) <https://www.icrict.com/international-tax-reform/icrict-evaluation-of-the-oecd-g2o-two-pillar-solution-2/> [accessed 21 April 2025].
[59] Mager, Meinzer and Millán, ‘How Corporate Tax Incentives Undermine Climate Justice’.
[60] ‘Tanzania and Barrick Gold Reach Final Operating Agreement’, CGTN Africa, 15 June 2023 <https://africa.cgtn.com/tanzania-and-barrick-gold-reach-final-operating-agreement/> [accessed 22 April 2025].
[61] John Benny, ‘Barrick Details Proposal to Settle Acacia Dispute with Tanzania’, Reuters, 20 February 2019, section Business <https://www.reuters.com/article/business/barrick-details-proposal-to-settle-acacia-dispute-with-tanzania-idUSKCN1Q91G8/> [accessed 22 April 2025].
[62] ‘Acacia Seeks Stay of International Arbitration against Tanzania | Reuters’ <https://www.reuters.com/article/world/acacia-seeks-stay-of-international-arbitration-against-tanzania-idUSKCN1UC0QN/> [accessed 22 April 2025].
[63] ‘Outlawed Foreign Foras: The Conundrum over Tanzania’s International Investor Disputes Resolution System – Africa Construction Law’ <https://africaconstructionlaw.org/outlawed-foreign-foras-the-conundrum-over-tanzanias-international-investor-disputes-resolution-system/> [accessed 22 April 2025].
[64] ‘Tanzania and Barrick Gold Reach Final Operating Agreement’.
[65] Report of the High Level Panel on Illicit Financial Flows from Africa <https://au.int/sites/default/files/documents/40545-doc-IFFs_REPORT.pdf> [accessed 21 April 2025].
[66] ‘Tanzania and Barrick Gold Reach Final Operating Agreement’.
[67] Thomas Scurfield, Equitable Sharing of Mining Profits: The Best Deal for Tanzania? (September 2023).
[68] Bob Michel and Franziska Mager, ‘Breaking the Silos of Tax and Climate: Climate Tax Policy under the UN Framework Convention on International Tax Cooperation.’, Tax Justice Network, 2024 <https://taxjustice.net/2024/12/09/-climate-and-tax-talks-has-sunk-both-but-the-un-tax-convention-offers-a-lifeline/> [accessed 27 February 2025].
[69] ‘Tax Justice Network Letter to King Charles III – Full Text’, Tax Justice Network, 2023 <https://taxjustice.net/2023/04/30/tax-justice-network-letter-to-king-charles-iii-full-text/> [accessed 22 April 2025].
[70] Nick Shaxson, ‘What Does Brexit Mean for Tax Havens and the City of London?’, Tax Justice Network, 2021 <https://taxjustice.net/2021/07/02/what-does-brexit-mean-for-tax-havens-and-the-city-of-london/> [accessed 22 April 2025].
[71] Matthew Wills, ‘Islands in the Cash Stream’, JSTOR Daily, 23 June 2024 <https://daily.jstor.org/islands-in-the-cash-stream/> [accessed 22 April 2025].
[72] Corporate Tax Haven Index 2021 Methodology <https://cthi.taxjustice.net/cthi2021/methodology.pdf> [accessed 11 June 2024].
[73] ‘Tax Havens Could Cost Countries $4.7 Trillion over the next Decade, Advocacy Group Warns’, 2023 <https://www.icij.org/investigations/paradise-papers/tax-havens-could-cost-countries-4-7-trillion-over-the-next-decade-advocacy-group-warns/> [accessed 22 April 2025].
[74] Arun Advani, Emma Chamberlain and Andy Summers, A Wealth Tax for the UK <https://www.wealthandpolicy.com/wp/WealthTaxFinalReport.pdf>.
[75] Rupert Neate and Rupert Neate Wealth correspondent, ‘“Modest” Wealth Tax Could Raise More than £10bn for Public Services, Says TUC’, The Guardian, 11 August 2023, section Politics <https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2023/aug/11/modest-wealth-tax-could-raise-more-than-10bn-for-public-services-says-tuc> [accessed 22 April 2025].
[76] Advani, Chamberlain and Summers, A Wealth Tax for the UK.
[77] Shaxson, ‘What Does Brexit Mean for Tax Havens and the City of London?’
[78] Knobel, Privacy Washing & Beneficial Ownership Transparency: Dismantling the Weaponisation of Privacy against Beneficial Ownership Transparency <https://taxjustice.net/wp-content/uploads/2024/03/Privacy-Washing-and-Beneficial-Ownership-Transparency-Tax-Justice-Network-March-2024.pdf> [accessed 22 May 2025].
[79] Advani, Chamberlain and Summers, A Wealth Tax for the UK.
[80] Schultz and Palanský, ‘TJN WP 2024-02’.
[81] The State of Tax Justice 2021 <https://taxjustice.net/reports/the-state-of-tax-justice-2021/> [accessed 19 June 2023]; Tax Justice Network, State of Tax Justice 2022 <https://taxjustice.net/reports/state-of-tax-justice-2022/> [accessed 19 June 2023]; The State of Tax Justice 2023 <https://taxjustice.net/wp-content/uploads/SOTJ/SOTJ23/English/State%20of%20Tax%20Justice%202023%20-%20Tax%20Justice%20Network%20-%20English.pdf> [accessed 11 June 2024]; The State of Tax Justice 2024.
[82] Alestig and others, ‘Carbon Inequality Kills: Why Curbing the Excessive Emissions of an Elite Few Can Create a Sustainable Planet for All’.
[83] Jose Pedro Bastos Neves and Willi Semmler, ‘A Proposal for a Carbon Wealth Tax: Modelling, Empirics, and Policy’, 2022 <https://papers.ssrn.com/abstract=4114243> [accessed 19 June 2023].
[84] Tax Justice Network, 2025, The millionaire exodus myth, https://taxjustice.net/reports/the-millionaire-exodus-myth/.
[85] Dejgaard and others, Climate Finance Shadow Report 2023.
[86] Such an approach is in line with principle (d) of the UNFCITC Terms of Reference, see: https://financing.desa.un.org/sites/default/files/2025-01/n2501014_E.pdf.
Related articles
Reclaiming tax sovereignty to transform global climate finance
16 June 2025

Uncovering hidden power in the UK’s PSC Register

Lessons from Australia: Let the sunshine in!

Vulnerabilities to illicit financial flows: complementing national risk assessments
UN Submission: A Roadmap for Eradicating Poverty Beyond Growth

Urgent call to action: UN Member States must step up with financial contributions to advance the UN Framework Convention on International Tax Cooperation
The international tax consequences of President Trump
27 February 2025
Negotiating Tax at the United Nations: An introductory factsheet from an EU perspective
18 February 2025
Just Transition and Human Rights: Response to the call for input by the Office of the UN High Commissioner for Human Rights
13 January 2025
